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2010-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 82.1% 17.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 13.8% 86.2% - โœ—

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -3 (63-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Gray 38 6-17 5-11 3-5 6 2 1 0 1 20 11 -
Elias Harris 37 8-19 1-4 2-3 8 3 0 0 4 19 7 -
Demetri Goodson 36 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 0 1 2 11 -
Robert Sacre 27 2-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 2 5 5 4 -
Manny Arop 22 7-8 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 15 11 -
Mathis Monninghoff 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Kelly Olynyk 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
Sam Dower 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Marquise Carter 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
David Stockton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mike Hart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Butler III 38 7-13 2-5 6-9 6 1 0 0 0 22 16 -
J. Crowder 32 4-9 1-2 1-2 4 1 5 1 0 10 12 -
D. Buycks 32 3-8 1-5 2-2 2 6 0 0 4 9 5 -
D. Johnson-Odom 25 4-12 2-7 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
J. Cadougan 25 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 1 4 -
V. Blue 24 1-7 0-2 2-2 4 2 2 0 3 4 2 -
C. Otule 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
D. Gardner 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter