Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Primm | 34 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Matt Dickey | 30 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Cunningham | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jaron Lane | 26 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Stephenson | 26 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jon Nwannunu | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Trent Meyer | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Quinard Jackson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| John Williams | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eric Stubbs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes | 33 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Dexter Strickland | 32 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Larry Drew | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| John Henson | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Justin Knox | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Justin Watts | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter