Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Walker | 38 | 10-19 | 4-11 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 17 | - |
| A. Oriakhi | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| S. Napier | 28 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| R. Smith | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| N. Giffey | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Lamb | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Coombs-McDaniel | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Olander | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Okwandu | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Beverly | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Summers | 32 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| K. Lucas | 32 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -4 | - |
| D. Green | 29 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 6-10 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 26 | - |
| K. Lucious | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| G. Sherman | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Roe | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Appling | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Thornton | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Kebler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Payne | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter