Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State Wildcats | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.7% | 90.3% | +12.2 | ✗ (29.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -17 (64-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney McGruder | 29 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jacob Pullen | 26 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jamar Samuels | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Will Spradling | 21 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Martavious Irving | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Freddy Asprilla | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Curtis Kelly | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Wally Judge | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nick Russell | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Victor Ojeleye | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Henriquez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shane Southwell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nino Williams | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Juevol Myles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Gray | 35 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Elias Harris | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Mathis Monninghoff | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Demetri Goodson | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| David Stockton | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Manny Arop | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Sam Dower | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marquise Carter | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mathis Keita | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mike Hart | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter