Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Washington Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | -3.4 | ✗ (46.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Huskies +43 (106-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harris | 32 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| M. Scott | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Harrell | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 25 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Baron | 21 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Evans | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -2 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| W. Regan | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| A. Sene | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Rogers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Gaddy | 26 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Justin Holiday | 24 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 24 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Scott Suggs | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Darnell Gant | 22 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Matthew Bryan-Amaning | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Venoy Overton | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Aziz N'Diaye | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| C.J. Wilcox | 15 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 12 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Hosley | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Sherrer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter