Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -7 (65-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jenkins | 37 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 10-12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Taylor | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| B. Tinsley | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| F. Ezeli | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| L. Goulbourne | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Walker | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Tchiengang | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Fuller | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Odom | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Zeller | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| H. Barnes | 29 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Strickland | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Drew II | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Knox | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Marshall | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| L. McDonald | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Henson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. | 15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Watts | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Breland | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 21 | - |
* = starter