Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +8 (55-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.