Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (18.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +33 (88-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Davis | 35 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jauwan Scaife | 30 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jesse Berry | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jarrod Jones | 21 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Malik Perry | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Matt Kamieniecki | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Hubbard | 15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Pierre Sneed | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyrae Robinson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Bond | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jay Copeland | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelvin Mack | 31 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Matt Howard | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Ronald Nored | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Vanzant | 23 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Zach Hahn | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Smith | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Khyle Marshall | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Garrett Butcher | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chrishawn Hopkins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Erik Fromm | 9 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Chase Stigall | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Grant Leiendecker | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Emerson Kampen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Anglin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter