Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmon Fletcher | 36 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Bryquis Perine | 33 | 3-14 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Steve Baker | 29 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Troy Snyder | 25 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Seth Evans | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alec Brown | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Greg LeSage | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Turner | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Clayton Heuer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leonard | 36 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 25 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Thomas | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| C. Tapley | 29 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Rahon | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. White | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Franklin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter