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2010-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 90.6% 9.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.5% 24.5% - โœ“
Margin 89.7% 10.3% -11.9 โœ“ (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.4% 6.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.8% 26.2% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots -31 (48-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Knight 32 7-13 2-5 5-5 3 1 0 2 3 21 11 -
DeAndre Liggins 31 1-4 0-1 4-4 2 2 1 0 1 6 6 -
Darius Miller 30 6-7 3-4 0-0 5 4 5 4 2 15 24 -
Terrence Jones 30 5-14 0-2 2-5 5 3 0 2 4 12 4 -
Doron Lamb 24 4-5 3-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 13 11 -
Josh Harrellson 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 0 6 14 -
Eloy Vargas 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
Jon Hood 12 0-1 0-1 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jarrod Polson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Stacey Poole 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Sikma 29 2-7 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 0 2 4 9 -
J. Stohl 28 2-9 1-7 4-4 2 1 0 0 2 9 1 -
E. Waterford 26 5-13 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 12 0 -
K. Knutson 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 4 1 -
N. Mitrovic 22 1-7 0-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 0 -
T. Riley 18 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Douglas 14 2-4 0-0 3-5 1 1 1 0 2 7 4 -
R. Barker 14 3-5 1-1 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 8 5 -
D. Rodgers 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
R. Nicholas 6 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
J. Hannibal 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Thieleke 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter