Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Zeller | 27 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| H. Barnes | 27 | 0-12 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Henson | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| L. Drew II | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Strickland | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. | 19 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| K. Marshall | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Knox | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. McDonald | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Watts | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hoffarber | 37 | 6-15 | 5-14 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| A. Nolen | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| T. Mbakwe | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| R. Sampson III | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Williams | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Hollins | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Walker | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Iverson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| C. Armelin | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Ahanmisi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter