Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +6 (90-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey | 42 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 40 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| M. Davis | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| B. Paul | 32 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Richmond | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Cole | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Leonard | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Griffey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Berardini | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson | 40 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 38 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gary Johnson | 36 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 32 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 5-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Dogus Balbay | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J'Covan Brown | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jai Lucas | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alexis Wangmene | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Matt Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter