Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +6 (90-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey | 42 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 40 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| M. Davis | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| B. Paul | 32 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Richmond | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Cole | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Leonard | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Griffey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Berardini | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 40 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| C. Joseph | 38 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| G. Johnson | 36 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Hamilton | 32 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 5-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 14 | - |
| D. Balbay | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Brown | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Lucas | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Wangmene | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter