Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Newbold | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brady Jardine | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Brian Green | 26 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Pooh Williams | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Brockeith Pane | 26 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Tai Wesley | 25 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Morgan Grim | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| James Walker | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Matt Formisano | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmer Fredette | 39 | 8-21 | 5-14 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Noah Hartsock | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Charles Abouo | 30 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jackson Emery | 24 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chris Collinsworth | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| James Anderson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Rogers | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Logan Magnusson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Brock Zylstra | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Davies | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Martineau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter