Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 38 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Leonard | 33 | 7-20 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| B. White | 32 | 14-18 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 20 | - |
| J. Rahon | 29 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Tapley | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Thomas | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 14 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelton | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Franklin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Gray | 40 | 12-23 | 2-10 | 9-10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 16 | - |
| Elias Harris | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Demetri Goodson | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Mathis Monninghoff | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sam Dower | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Manny Arop | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marquise Carter | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mike Hart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mathis Keita | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter