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2010-11-16

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 13.9% 86.1% -
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% -
Log Adjusted 82.5% 17.5% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay 38 3-7 1-3 2-4 0 3 1 0 3 9 3 -
K. Leonard 33 7-20 0-3 4-5 12 3 2 1 0 18 16 -
B. White 32 14-18 2-2 0-2 9 1 2 0 4 30 20 -
J. Rahon 29 5-6 2-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 12 12 -
C. Tapley 22 0-2 0-1 0-1 3 0 1 0 3 0 -1 -
M. Thomas 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Carlwell 14 3-7 0-2 2-3 2 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
T. Shelton 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Cheriet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Franklin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gray 40 12-23 2-10 9-10 3 5 2 0 6 35 16 -
E. Harris 31 1-4 0-0 3-5 3 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
R. Sacre 31 4-8 0-0 5-6 11 0 0 1 4 13 13 -
D. Goodson 31 3-9 1-4 2-3 1 4 1 0 0 9 6 -
M. Monninghoff 22 2-2 1-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
K. Olynyk 21 2-3 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 4 5 3 -
S. Dower 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 3 7 -
M. Arop 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
M. Carter 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Hart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Keita 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter