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2010-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% -
Margin 41.6% 58.4% +1.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Grant 35 5-16 2-8 6-7 7 3 2 1 3 18 12 -
D. Scott 33 5-11 1-1 9-11 4 1 2 0 5 20 11 -
G. Adams 30 2-7 0-4 1-2 7 0 1 0 3 5 3 -
A. Thomas 22 0-5 0-4 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Johnson 21 3-7 0-0 6-9 12 0 0 3 1 12 19 -
D. Kirk 18 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Gamble 16 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
E. Swoope 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 -
D. Jones 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
R. Akpejiori 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Brown 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Witherspoon 38 1-5 0-2 10-11 5 3 2 1 2 12 16 -
C. Carmouche 31 2-6 1-4 8-10 3 1 5 1 1 13 16 -
J. Jackson 25 5-11 1-4 6-6 3 4 2 0 2 17 13 -
C. Crawford 21 3-10 2-8 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 8 1 -
W. Coleman 20 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 3 0 3 5 -
A. Barton 19 4-9 0-1 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
A. Garcia 15 0-5 0-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
T. Black 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 4 5 -
W. Barton 11 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 -2 -
D. Stephens 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Barham 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter