Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Queen | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Daugherty | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| B. Wilson | 0 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| P. Lalor | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Raterman | 0 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Washington | 0 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Thomas | 0 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Johnson | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Schiffauer | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Keane | 0 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
* = starter