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2010-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears UTEP Miners Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% +18.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Margin 6.6% 93.4% +14.6 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.1% 97.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“

Actual: UTEP Miners +13 (87-74). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Langston Hall * 33 3-3 3-3 0-2 1 7 4 0 3 9 15 -
Brandon Moore * 32 5-11 0-2 9-13 13 2 1 1 5 19 20 -
Jeff Smith * 30 7-12 4-7 4-5 2 2 1 0 4 22 11 -
Justin Cecil * 22 2-12 1-9 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 6 -3 -
Brian Mills * 16 1-5 0-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
Jakob Gollon 17 1-2 0-1 3-4 5 0 1 0 3 5 6 -
Mark Hall 15 1-4 0-2 1-1 0 0 2 0 0 3 1 -
Paul Larsen 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Bud Thomas 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Chris Smith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Monty Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
David O'Shaughnessey 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Kevin Canevari 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Daniel Coursey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ted Price 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UTEP Miners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Randy Culpepper * 36 7-13 2-4 8-8 5 3 2 0 5 24 16 -
Julyan Stone * 34 1-3 0-1 11-14 8 5 1 0 2 13 22 -
Christian Polk * 27 6-11 2-5 3-3 2 7 0 0 1 17 14 -
Jeremy Williams * 27 2-5 1-1 6-10 1 0 2 1 0 11 10 -
Claude Britten * 10 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
John Bohannon 17 3-5 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 0 5 9 5 -
Michael Perez 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Gabriel McCulley 15 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Isaac Gordon 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 1 5 -
Wayne Portalatin 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter