Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Seattle U Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle U Redhawks -16 (60-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hanson | 40 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Shawn Lewis | 35 | 7-19 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 32 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 31 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Will Donahue | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Maliik Love | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Drake U'u | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Pembleton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Lever | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sterling Carter | 32 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Mark McLaughlin | 29 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Cervante Burrell | 26 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Alex Jones | 24 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Broussard | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Fredrick Wilson | 20 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Brandon Durham | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gavin Gilmore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter