Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.2% | 87.8% | +10.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mower | 34 | 11-15 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 22 | - |
| T. Johnson | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Mintz | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | - |
| B. Wheeler | 29 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Willen | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| R. Delaney | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Giese | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Kreuser | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Petkovich | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robinson | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| M. Ringgold | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Penn | 23 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Stewart | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| N. Gadson | 21 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Myles | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Pereira | 16 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Thompson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Youngblood | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Nd-Ezuma | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Mansell | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter