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2010-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Florida Atlantic Owls Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots +14 (89-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raymond Taylor 31 7-15 4-9 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 18 8 -
Alex Tucker 28 4-11 0-0 2-3 0 7 3 0 0 10 9 -
Greg Gantt 27 7-17 6-14 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 20 4 -
Jordan McCoy 25 1-3 0-0 3-3 2 0 1 1 0 5 6 -
Kore White 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
Brett Royster 21 2-5 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 3 1 4 2 -
Dennis Mavin 21 4-8 0-3 3-6 2 0 0 0 1 11 4 -
Justin Davis 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
Pablo Bertone 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Shavar Richardson 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Andre Mattison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
DeMonte Simpson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Sikma 37 7-13 0-1 1-1 19 5 0 4 3 15 27 -
J. Stohl 34 7-13 4-9 6-6 1 0 0 0 1 24 11 -
K. Knutson 34 6-7 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 1 2 16 16 -
N. Mitrovic 27 3-5 2-4 0-0 7 4 0 0 2 8 12 -
E. Waterford 22 3-4 2-2 5-5 2 2 0 0 0 13 13 -
T. Riley 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. Douglas 18 1-6 0-1 4-4 1 2 1 0 2 6 2 -
J. Hannibal 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Barker 4 0-0 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
R. Nicholas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Rodgers 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter