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2010-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Solomon Bozeman 32 0-8 0-4 6-6 2 4 0 0 1 6 3 -
Alex Garcia-Mendoza 27 5-10 1-3 10-11 5 2 1 0 2 21 17 -
Eric Kibi 24 5-7 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 11 5 -
Matt Mouzy 22 3-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 4 -
C. Guy 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 3 -1 -
Courtney Jackson 18 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
D'Andre Williams 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 4 4 -
Gus Leeper 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
Montrell Thornton 9 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Tramar Sutherland 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Marlon Louzeiro 8 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Reggie Sonnier 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Adegboye 38 4-8 2-6 7-11 1 2 0 1 3 17 10 -
A. Nicholson 38 8-13 0-2 9-10 11 1 0 1 4 25 21 -
M. Davenport 28 6-9 0-0 5-6 7 3 3 1 3 17 19 -
D. Conger 27 1-5 0-3 3-3 5 3 1 0 2 5 7 -
D. Cook 27 1-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
M. Wright 15 2-4 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
B. Roseboro 14 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
S. de Haas 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter