Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton Tigers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +37 (97-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Mavraides | 33 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Ian Hummer | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kareem Maddox | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Doug Davis | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Mack Darrow | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T.J. Bray | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Connolly | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Saunders | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Will Barrett | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Hazel | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jimmy Sherburne | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bobby Foley | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chris Clement | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Comfort | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Edwards | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith | 30 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 26 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Kyrie Irving | 25 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Seth Curry | 24 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 22 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter