Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Miller | 31 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Payne | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Harden | 27 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - |
| A. Tiffin | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| R. Silva | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Ritchart | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Kurtz | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 10 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| T. Les | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| R. Howley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Sikma | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| J. Stohl | 22 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Douglas | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Waterford | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 19 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Knutson | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Nicholas | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Riley | 14 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Barker | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Mossman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter