Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wood | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kareem Jamar | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Stockton | 26 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Derek Selvig | 25 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brian Qvale | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Mathias Ward | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Will Cherry | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Art Steward | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Chase Adams | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eric Hutchison | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Billy Reader | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hunt | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| M. Story | 28 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Burton | 27 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Panzer | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| I. Baldwin | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Finn | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Burris | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Conner | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Elliott | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cukic | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Carp | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Fuetsch | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter