Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Norfleet | 34 | 5-16 | 3-13 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Lamar Trice | 33 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Atupem | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| David Golladay | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Raven Barber | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Josh Castellanos | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Danny Thompson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tayvon Jackson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson | 26 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chris Wright | 26 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Juwan Staten | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Paul Williams | 24 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Josh Parker | 21 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Devin Searcy | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Spearman | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Josh Benson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Logan Nourse | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Peter Zestermann | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter