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2010-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Seattle U Redhawks San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% - โœ“
Margin 9.1% 90.9% +12.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +21 (97-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle U Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garrett Lever 28 3-5 2-2 3-4 8 4 3 0 0 11 21 -
Sterling Carter 27 9-17 5-12 3-6 5 3 1 0 5 26 13 -
Mark McLaughlin 26 3-10 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 10 1 -
Aaron Broussard 25 1-2 1-2 3-4 6 0 0 1 4 6 7 -
Cervante Burrell 23 1-8 0-0 1-5 2 2 1 0 3 3 -3 -
Gavin Gilmore 19 3-6 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 0 3 8 9 -
Brandon Durham 18 2-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Fredrick Wilson 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Alex Jones 13 2-4 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Taylor Stevens 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cody Doolin 30 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 4 3 -
Angelo Caloiaro 29 6-11 0-3 6-6 13 4 3 0 2 18 25 -
Moustapha Diarra 29 6-12 0-0 2-4 9 2 1 0 2 14 12 -
Michael Williams 28 7-13 3-5 1-4 8 4 1 0 1 18 17 -
Dominique O'Connor 22 2-9 0-1 4-4 6 0 3 0 3 8 5 -
Rashad Green 19 3-8 1-4 2-2 6 4 1 0 2 9 10 -
Marko Petrovic 15 3-5 3-5 5-6 1 2 0 0 0 14 12 -
Cole Dickerson 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Avery Johnson 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Justin Raffington 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Perris Blackwell 5 1-1 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Osekalome Akhile 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter