Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacquan Nobles | 39 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Miller | 38 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 30 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Michael Green | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Wil Peters | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Robert Covington | 22 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jerret Towns | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Chris Conner | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Verkeneo Mann | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravern Johnson | 34 | 7-17 | 5-9 | 13-14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Riley Benock | 34 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Brian Bryant | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Kodi Augustus | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Elgin Bailey | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Twany Beckham | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 13 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Shaun Smith | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Reik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Bolen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Luczak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Baxter Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter