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2010-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Lehigh Mountain Hawks Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 9.8% 90.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Margin 4.7% 95.3% +16.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.5% 79.5% - โœ“

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +14 (70-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McKnight 30 5-12 2-4 1-1 3 3 0 3 3 13 7 -
G. Knutson 29 0-2 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
C. McCollum 28 3-11 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 -3 -
R. Keefer 24 2-6 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
A. D'Orazio 18 6-9 4-7 1-1 4 0 1 1 1 17 13 -
J. Hamilton 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 0 -1 -
J. Adams 15 2-3 2-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 6 9 -
H. Greiner 14 0-3 0-3 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 1 -1 -
P. Small 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 0 6 -
J. Maneri 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Safstrom 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
K. McCarthy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Battle 33 7-17 3-8 4-5 6 1 1 0 2 21 10 -
D. Jackson 30 5-12 0-4 4-5 5 0 1 0 2 14 6 -
T. Frazier 30 1-5 0-0 4-4 7 6 1 0 3 6 12 -
B. Oliver 29 3-6 2-5 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 10 9 -
J. Brooks 26 5-7 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 5 2 10 16 -
A. Jones 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 2 4 7 -
T. Buie 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
T. Bowman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Kirkpatrick 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Graham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Marshall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Woodyard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter