Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +12.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +13 (82-69). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Swansey | 35 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Zach Bailey | 27 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Terrell Barnes | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jud Dillard | 20 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Murphy | 19 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Liam McMorrow | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Ogbe | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alfred Jones | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Matt Marseille | 13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chase Dunn | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Charles Newton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Byron Pickens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Brown | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Leslie | 31 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Tracy Smith | 28 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Scott Wood | 26 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Javier Gonzalez | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Harrow | 24 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Richard Howell | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Vandenberg | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Painter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter