Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robinson | 38 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Ringgold | 37 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| N. Gadson | 29 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Thompson | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Youngblood | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Myles | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| B. Penn | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Stewart | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Pereira | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Nd-Ezuma | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gurley | 34 | 12-20 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 14 | - |
| S. Carter | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| F. Riley | 28 | 10-15 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - |
| G. Correia | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Carter | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| T. Vinson | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Traynham | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| M. Hill | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Putney | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| H. Bailey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter