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2010-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 1.7% 98.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Margin 0.4% 99.6% +31.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns +31 (83-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sugars 32 3-14 1-8 1-2 4 2 1 0 4 8 -3 -
O.J. Avworo 30 1-3 0-0 4-6 1 3 1 0 3 6 5 -
R. Garcia 29 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
M. Veazey 29 6-16 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 5 2 14 9 -
I. Roberts 16 2-6 0-2 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
J. Loupos 15 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Brown 14 2-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
J.J. Avila 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
B. Wyatt 8 1-2 0-1 1-3 1 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
T. Wynn 4 0-1 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Liebert 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Connolly 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Johnson 28 6-8 0-0 5-8 10 2 0 1 3 17 19 -
Jordan Hamilton 26 10-17 3-8 3-3 10 1 0 1 1 26 20 -
Cory Joseph 25 2-7 0-3 1-2 4 3 0 0 3 5 2 -
Tristan Thompson 25 4-10 0-0 4-10 7 1 1 0 1 12 10 -
Jai Lucas 24 2-6 0-2 2-3 2 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
J'Covan Brown 23 2-4 1-3 2-4 4 6 1 0 5 7 9 -
Dogus Balbay 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 2 5 -
Matt Hill 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Alexis Wangmene 13 3-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 2 0 0 8 9 -

* = starter