Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.8 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Hayward | 40 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| W. Veasley | 38 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| S. Mack | 31 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| R. Nored | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Howard | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Jukes | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Vanzant | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Hahn | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Smith | 40 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| K. Singler | 40 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| L. Thomas | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter