Model Predictions
| Model | West Virginia Mountaineers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (78-57). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Jones | 37 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| W. Smith | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Devin Ebanks | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Mazzulla | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Butler | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| John Flowers | 15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Deniz Kilicli | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Mitchell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Pepper | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. West | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Payne | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Thoroughman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Jennings | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler | 39 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jon Scheyer | 38 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 34 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Davidson | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter