Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.2% | 87.8% | +10.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -2 (50-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Hayward | 39 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| R. Nored | 38 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| W. Veasley | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Mack | 25 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Jukes | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Vanzant | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| M. Howard | 15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Z. Hahn | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Summers | 38 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Lucious | 38 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Roe | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Morgan | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Allen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Sherman | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Kebler | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Nix | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter