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2010-09-14

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 59.7% 40.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.8 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel McCoughtry * 36 7-23 3-5 4-5 9 2 2 0 4 21 7 -
Iziane Castro Marques * 32 10-20 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 21 -1 -
Coco Miller * 29 3-8 0-3 1-2 3 8 2 0 5 7 7 -
Armintie Herrington * 25 2-5 0-0 2-4 2 2 1 0 2 6 4 -
Sancho Lyttle * 23 3-5 0-0 4-4 8 0 3 2 2 10 16 -
Erika de Souza 19 4-4 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 0 1 11 14 -
Yelena Leuchanka 16 1-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Shalee Lehning 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Alison Bales 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Kelly Miller 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Brittainey Raven 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 36 3-10 0-4 4-4 2 5 2 0 3 10 6 -
Lauren Jackson * 35 6-12 1-5 13-17 7 0 3 1 1 26 24 -
Swin Cash * 33 6-10 2-4 5-7 2 3 1 1 4 19 12 -
Tanisha Wright * 33 6-9 1-1 4-6 3 3 5 0 3 17 16 -
Camille Smith * 26 4-9 0-0 1-3 9 1 2 0 3 9 9 -
Le'coe Willingham 17 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Jana Vesela 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter