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2010-04-01

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 65.0% 35.0% -3.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 21.9% 78.1% -
Efficiency 79.7% 20.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% -
Log Adjusted 7.2% 92.8% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew II * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 0 6 12 17 -
M. Ginyard * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 2 11 -
D. Thompson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 3 2 0 13 28 -
W. Graves * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 25 29 -
J. Henson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 5 10 -
T. Zeller 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 11 11 -
D. Strickland 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
L. McDonald 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Wear 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 20 25 -
C. Wright * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 1 1 14 27 -
K. Huelsman * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 10 -
C. Johnson * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 14 22 -
R. Lowery * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 0 4 -
P. Williams 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 16 22 -
L. Warren 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 2 0 1 2 12 -
D. Searcy 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
L. Fabrizius 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 5 -
M. Perry 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Benson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter