Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 37 | 8-21 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Coco Miller * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 21 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Erika de Souza | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Shalee Lehning | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alison Bales | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 37 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jana Vesela | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter