Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (105-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 39 | 14-27 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 20 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| E. Carson | 28 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| N. Powell | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Pierson | 24 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Greene | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 36 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 17-21 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 31 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| I. Castro | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| E. de Souza | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| C. Miller | 27 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| A. Herrington | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Lehning | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Bales | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter