Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (88-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 28 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jana Vesela | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 9-15 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 30 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter