Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 34 | 5-12 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| T. Johnson | 32 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 2-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -3 | - |
| T. Smith | 32 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Braxton | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bird | 38 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| L. Jackson | 37 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 24 | - |
| S. Cash | 33 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Little | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Wright | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 21 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Willingham | 15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
* = starter