Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Young * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Ford * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| S. Willard * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| T. Smith * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Nunnally * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| P. Eveland | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| A. Huddleston | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Neufville | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Lamar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mallett * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Leonard * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| N. Ricks * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 22 | - |
| K. Weems * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 29 | - |
| W. Creekmore * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| C. Patterson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| R. Jehle | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Rhine | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter