Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Ole Miss Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ole Miss Rebels -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnson | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 36 | - |
| C. Wright | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 26 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| L. Warren | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| M. Johnson | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| P. Williams | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| D. Searcy | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Lowery | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Perry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Benson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. White | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 22 | - |
| M. Holloway | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Z. Graham | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Warren | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| T. Gaskins | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Henry | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Polynice | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| R. Buckner | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Cranston | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter