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2010-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 21.0% 79.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.3% 60.7% -
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.3% 66.7% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Carter 38 5-12 2-7 0-0 2 4 2 0 4 12 4 -
E. Udoh 37 6-14 0-0 6-9 10 6 1 5 1 18 25 -
L. Dunn 35 8-18 2-8 4-5 6 2 2 0 2 22 12 -
A. Jones 33 1-3 1-2 0-2 5 1 1 1 1 3 7 -
Q. Acy 33 5-7 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 1 1 12 14 -
A.J. Walton 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Lomers 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
F. Ellis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 40 5-12 5-10 5-5 5 4 1 0 1 20 17 -
N. Smith 40 9-17 4-6 7-8 3 1 2 0 2 29 16 -
K. Singler 34 0-10 0-5 5-6 3 4 2 0 4 5 0 -
M. Plumlee 20 1-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
B. Zoubek 19 2-5 0-0 1-2 9 2 2 0 1 5 12 -
L. Thomas 19 2-9 0-0 3-4 9 2 0 0 1 7 8 -
M. Plumlee 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 2 5 -
A. Dawkins 13 2-2 2-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

* = starter