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2010-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Margin 38.0% 62.0% +2.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +1 (70-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Chism 33 5-9 3-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 13 9 -
B. Williams 33 5-8 0-0 1-4 9 0 0 2 1 11 13 -
S. Hopson 33 3-7 1-4 3-6 3 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
J.P. Prince 28 5-5 0-0 2-2 3 5 1 1 4 12 13 -
B. Maze 22 3-9 1-4 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 9 2 -
M. Goins 17 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
C. Tatum 12 1-2 1-1 4-5 1 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
S. Pearl 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 0 3 -
J. Bone 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Hall 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morgan 35 4-11 0-1 5-6 10 2 1 2 1 13 16 -
K. Lucious 35 2-9 1-7 3-4 3 4 5 1 5 8 7 -
C. Allen 29 2-6 1-3 3-5 2 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
D. Summers 29 8-10 4-6 1-1 4 1 0 0 2 21 14 -
D. Green 26 5-10 0-1 3-3 1 2 1 2 2 13 7 -
D. Roe 20 1-4 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 3 1 3 3 -
D. Nix 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Kebler 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Thornton 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Sherman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
I. Dahlman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter