Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.6 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bradley | 0 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. Johnson | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 13 | - |
| C. Davis | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Morris | 0 | 4-18 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Q. Davis | 0 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 5 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mitchell | 0 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Cheek | 0 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| K. Thomas | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 10-19 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 22 | - |
| K. Jackson | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
* = starter