Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Moore | 36 | 7-18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Kramer | 32 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 30 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| K. Grant | 30 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Jackson | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Barlow | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| P. Bade | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Smith | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wohlford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Singler | 39 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 38 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| N. Smith | 38 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| L. Thomas | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davidson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter