Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (59-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Farokhmanesh | 31 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 4-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Ahelegbe | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Moran | 26 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Dunham | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Koch | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Koch | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Sonnen | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. James | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucious | 39 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| D. Summers | 37 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| D. Green | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Roe | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| R. Morgan | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Allen | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| G. Sherman | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Thornton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Nix | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kebler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter