Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Silver Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Silver Stars -19 (73-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| T. Johnson | 32 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith | 29 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 27 | 9-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Braxton | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| B. Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Swanier | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Lilley | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Silver Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hammon | 38 | 7-18 | 4-12 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| S. Young-Malcolm | 33 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| R. Hodges | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Lawson-Wade | 28 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| R. Riley | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Snow | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Battle | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| H. Darling | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter